LFCS Seminar: Thursday, 22 June - Xavier Rival


Title:     Towards verified stochastic variational inference for probabilistic programs



Probabilistic programming is the idea of writing models from statistics and machine learning using program notations and reasoning about these models using generic inference engines. Recently its combination with deep learning has been explored intensely, which led to the development of so called deep probabilistic programming languages, such as Pyro, Edward and ProbTorch. At the core of this development lie inference engines based on stochastic variational inference algorithms. When asked to find information about the posterior distribution of a model written in such a language, these algorithms convert this posterior-inference query into an optimisation problem and solve it approximately by a form of gradient ascent or descent.

In this talk, we analyse one of the most fundamental and versatile variational inference algorithms, called score estimator or REINFORCE, using tools from denotational semantics and program analysis. We formally express what this algorithm does on models denoted by programs, and expose implicit assumptions made by the algorithm on the models. The violation of these assumptions may lead to an undefined optimisation objective or the loss of convergence guarantee of the optimisation process. We then describe rules for proving these assumptions, which can be automated by static program analyses. Some of our rules use nontrivial facts from continuous mathematics, and let us replace requirements about integrals in the assumptions, such as integrability of functions defined in terms of programs' denotations, by conditions involving differentiation or boundedness, which are much easier to prove automatically (and manually). Following our general methodology, we have developed several static program analyses for the Pyro programming language that aims at discharging the assumptions about what we call model-guide support match and about the differentiability requirements. Our analysis is applied to the eight representative model-guide pairs from the Pyro webpage, which include sophisticated neural network models such as AIR. It finds a bug in one of these cases, reveals a non-standard use of an inference engine in another, and shows that the assumptions are met in the remaining six cases.




Jun 22 2023 -

LFCS Seminar: Thursday, 22 June - Xavier Rival

Xavier Rival, cole normale supérieure https://www.di.ens.fr/~rival/

Venue: IF MiniForum 2 (4th floor, east wing)
To attend remotely:
URL: https://ed-ac-uk.zoom.us/j/88260839732
Password: kgj3PXvs